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Kaunisto Profile
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Finnish presidential election 2018


Couple months to go and the candidates are set. Let's take a look what we have.
I'll list them in approximate order from left to right.



Merja Kyllönen (Left Alliance)

Former minister, currently MEP. Too small party for her to have any real chance.


Tuula Haatainen (Social Democrats)

Former minister, currently MP. SDP is one of the major parties, held presidency for 30 years before Niinistö (see below), but has lately lost popularity. She's not a particularly visible or well known figure, so I'll be surprised if she even makes it third.


Pekka Haavisto (Greens)

Former minister, current MP. The gay Green candidate who last time took a clear beating from Niinistö in runoff - but getting to round 2 was already a huge victory for a minor party candidate. Greens are more popular than ever and Haavisto is second in polls, so we may end up with having the same two guys to choose from as last time.


Matti Vanhanen (Centre)

Former prime minister. Ran 2006, coming third after Niinistö and then re-elected president Halonen. Centre is currently largest party, but he'll have hard time finishing even second. If Niinistö hadn't re-run, Vanhanen might have been the favorite, but as is there's just no need for him.


Nils Torvalds (Swedish People's Party)

MEP and father of Linus Torvalds, creator of Linux. Minor party, no chance for any success, so he just takes the opportunity to make some strong pro-NATO comments (at very wrong time, as the idea of Finland joining NATO is less popular than for ages).


Sauli Niinistö (Independent)

President Niinistö made a slightly unorthodox choice to rerun as independent. However the main right Coalition he represented when first elected supports him as de facto their candidate. Also small Christian Democrats chose to support Niinistö instead of having their own candidate.
Niinistö is huge favorite for re-election, I can't imagine anything to pull him down. This election is more just a PR competition between other parties on who comes second. It's quite possible Niinistö gets over 50% straight on first round.


Laura Huhtasaari (Finns)

I would like to keep this post objective, but I just have to say she is the most disgraceful presidential candidate this country has had misfortune to ever see (or at least since WWII, there may have been some Nazis in 30's).
The populist Finns Party, after a decade of increasing success, split this year to two. The (somewhat) moderates formed a new party called Blue Reform (which being in process of getting set up chose not to have a presidential candidate - bad move, if you ask me). The far-right that Finns are now nominated this islamophobic creationist and now we can never again point and laugh at other countries' horrible candidates.




Possible extra candidate:

Paavo Väyrynen (Independent)

Väyrynen is the biggest joke in Finnish politics. In 70's he was a rising talent, in 80's at the top of his career, in 90's he ruined his credibility by fighting the windmill called EU, in 00's he was a has-been and in 10's he made one last surprising comeback, only to make himself even bigger joke than before.
Väyrynen ran for president as Centre Party candidate 1988 (2nd), 1994 (3rd) and 2012 (3rd), 2000 barely losing candidacy.
Now he has formed a new party that isn't really a party, while refusing to resign Centre, in an absurd charade. Centre leader prime minister Sipilä has said that Väyrynen can't be member of Centre while creating another party, but removing his membership is a matter for the local party group... which is lead by Väyrynen, who said he is not planning to kick himself out.
At the moment I believe Väyrynen hasn't yet managed to gather enough supporters to officially run, but has about month to do so. Could be he can do it, could be he'll just walk away.

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Nov/9/2017, 22:26 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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The Big Boss
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


Niinistö still has huge advantage in polls, he has about 80% support and while that won't realistically last to elections, it's quite possible he'll finish it with over 50% on first round.


With a week to go, it'll be real close whether Väyrynen gets the support required for candidacy.

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Dec/1/2017, 20:41 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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The Big Boss
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


Niinistö is still looking incredibly strong, polling at 72%, with Haavisto 11% and (FFS) Huhtasaari third at 5% and Väyrynen fourth at 4%.

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Jan/5/2018, 17:01 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Petal Alderin Profile
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Re:


Seems like N has it. How do you feel about that K?

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Jan/9/2018, 8:56 Link to this post Send PM to Petal Alderin
 
Kaunisto Profile
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The Big Boss
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


I lean a bit to left, but Niinistö is moderate and careful. In fact he feels like the most passive president we've had; though that's partially because presidential powers have been cut down all the time since cold war (a direction Niinistö would like to change).

He's never been my top candidate - run once, coming second, before being elected - but on the other hand I'd put him second or third of the 6-8 options.
This time we certainly have worse ones...

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Jan/9/2018, 16:38 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


I have to say this is the worst set of candidates we've had in the time I've had any understanding (since 1988 or 1994).

Firstly there's the two total idiots: Huhtasaari (Trump supporter) and Väyrynen (eternal anti-EU clown).

On top of that you have Torvalds: he and his party have very small and steady backing, so he has nothing to lose; therefore he is just using the campaign to push one agenda - joining NATO.

Then there's Haatainen and Kyllönen. Couple weeks to election and I can't really tell anything but party about either. They are almost invisible, I can barely remember their names.

And Vanhanen, the candidate with most credibility to challenge Niinistö, just made an incredibly stupid comment that Finland applying NATO membership would be similar to Russia's actions in Ukraine (in the sense that it would rock the boat on balance of powers in the area).
Not that he really had chances at any point, but that was the final shot in the foot.

And that only leaves Haavisto, who we all know can't win; he already lost last time about 63-37 and nothing has changed.

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Jan/13/2018, 15:56 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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The Big Boss
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


Early voting keep getting more popular and over 30% - around half of expected total - have voted before the actual election day.

Polls have started to change fast and it'll be as close as expected whether Niinistö can take this on one round.

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Jan/24/2018, 20:44 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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The Big Boss
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


]take a look at the campaign posters

Not particularly good ones. I would say Kyllönen and väyrynen have best.

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Jan/25/2018, 16:05 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


Early votes (about 45%) counted, showing 64% to Niinistö.

Almost certainly re-elected.

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Jan/28/2018, 20:01 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 
Kaunisto Profile
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Re: Finnish presidential election 2018


Final results:

Sauli Niinistö 62,7 %
Pekka Haavisto 12,4 %
Laura Huhtasaari 6,9 %
Paavo Väyrynen 6,2 %
Matti Vanhanen 4,1 %
Tuula Haatainen 3,3 %
Merja Kyllönen 3,0 %
Nils Torvalds 1,5 %

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Jan/28/2018, 22:37 Link to this post Send PM to Kaunisto
 


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